MONTHLY
Economic Outlook
UKRAINE COUNTRY RISK REPORT
The most complete and high-quality update of the macroeconomic forecast until the end of the year
Overview of the main fundamental and political factors of influence for key macroeconomic indicators and update of forecast for:
GDP
Іnflation
Ukraine`s trade balance
Balance of payments
Exchange rate USD/UAH, EUR/UAH
Our group of independent economists has forecasted key macroeconomic indicators more accurately than the National Bank, Ministry of Economy of Ukraine and International Monetary Fund.
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Mykhailo Kukhar
Professor of macroeconomic course, EMBA
MIM Business School, Kyiv, Ukraine
Senior economist, CEO Ukraine Economic Outlook
About Ukraine Economic Outlook
The independent group of macroeconomic analysis and forecasting
About Ukraine Economic Outlook
About Ukraine Economic Outlook
About Ukraine Economic Outlook
About Ukraine Economic Outlook
The independent macroeconomic analysis and forecasting group Ukraine Economic Outlook engages in sectoral research and has developed its own macro forecasting model.
We pride ourselves on our unique ability to be the first analysts to identify long-term growth and recession trends, regardless of short-term volatility factors.
At the start of 2020, we warned our subscribers about the coming recession, despite Ukraine’s record growth rates in Q3, Q4 2019.
We were the only macroeconomic group to predict the summer dollar revaluation after the exchange rate rally in March-April 2020. (Monthly EO, April 06, 2020). The consensus forecast of Ukrainian investment banks fluctuated in the range of UAH 32-35/USD.
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FX Forecast (UAH/USD), 2020
During uncertain 2022, we calculated a drop in GDP with an accuracy of 0.3% (37.5% our forecast for Q2 vs 37.2% actual).
Subscribers of MONTHLY Economic Outlook are the first to be informed of future economic developments and trends in Ukraine.
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